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Red38
791310.6
44739.0
12625.1
Blue40
23426.5
50914.0
13813.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413202060803840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#8
25.10.1
19.319.2
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End2.9
red by 11.1
509
#12
14.00.6
10.110.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End2.8
Second
7913
#35
10.60.1
8.78.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End3.2
blue by 2.8
138
#14
13.40.6
13.614.2
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End3.4
Third
4473
#28
9.00.1
11.010.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End1.4
red by 2.5
2342
#37
6.50.6
7.58.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed