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Red31
76749.9
67629.7
15113.9
Blue16
31923.6
693313.2
44739.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345110203040607080903116

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151
#26
13.90.2
11.411.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End3.1
blue by 9.6
319
#4
23.62.4
20.318.0
Auto3.2
Teleop15.6
End4.7
Second
7674
#33
9.90.2
10.210.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End2.8
blue by 3.3
6933
#30
13.23.9
17.313.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End2.7
Third
6762
#22
9.70.2
10.810.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End3.1
red by 0.7
4473
#28
9.03.9
10.86.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed