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Red33
73146.7
173513.3
13813.4
Blue40
332310.6
172922.3
130710.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303301020405060703340

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#14
13.40.5
14.214.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End3.4
blue by 8.8
22.30.6
15.516.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.5
End4.7
Second
1735
#27
13.30.5
11.912.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End3.4
red by 2.5
1307
#34
10.81.0
8.59.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Third
7314
#24
6.70.5
2.63.1
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End1.9
blue by 3.9
3323
#32
10.61.0
6.77.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed