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Red31
21315.9
127715.9
44739.0
Blue83
492517.7
13332.9
172922.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385402060801003183

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1277
#20
15.90.5
14.113.5
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End3.8
blue by 17.0
133
#1
32.93.2
24.827.9
Auto6.1
Teleop17.4
End9.4
Second
213
#7
15.90.9
15.014.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End3.5
blue by 6.4
22.31.9
16.118.0
Auto4.0
Teleop13.5
End4.7
Third
4473
#28
9.00.9
6.96.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.7
End1.4
blue by 8.7
17.73.2
10.513.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed47%HAB Docking oddsEarned