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Red49
151714.3
63248.9
172922.3
Blue43
693313.2
492517.7
124711.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4239102030506070804943

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.4
18.919.4
Auto4.0
Teleop13.5
End4.7
red by 4.5
17.70.6
15.516.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End3.2
Second
1517
#11
14.30.5
12.913.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.6
End3.6
red by 1.1
6933
#30
13.20.6
12.012.6
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End2.7
Third
6324
#17
8.90.7
7.58.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End2.0
blue by 2.6
1247
#21
11.50.4
9.710.1
Auto2.9
Teleop6.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed