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Red35
173513.3
403411.1
633713.7
Blue44
105817.5
71337.1
16616.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36421020305060703544

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6337
#16
13.70.2
13.212.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End2.6
blue by 3.8
17.50.4
16.717.1
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End6.4
Second
1735
#27
13.30.2
11.711.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End3.4
blue by 2.9
166
#15
16.20.2
16.116.3
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End2.9
Third
4034
#19
11.10.2
9.39.1
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End2.3
red by 4.0
7133
#31
7.10.4
7.67.9
Auto2.5
Teleop3.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsEarned