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Red41
13118.3
31923.6
13813.4
Blue37
633713.7
88511.9
362310.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573610203040507080904137

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#4
23.61.0
21.120.0
Auto3.2
Teleop15.6
End4.7
red by 9.8
6337
#16
13.70.7
12.912.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End2.6
Second
131
#18
18.31.0
18.017.0
Auto2.6
Teleop12.6
End3.2
red by 6.4
885
#25
11.90.7
12.712.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.0
End3.6
Third
138
#14
13.41.5
14.513.0
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End3.4
red by 2.6
3623
#36
10.80.7
8.67.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed