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Red50
12625.1
16616.2
71267.7
Blue58
127715.9
362310.8
172922.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494420304060705058

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#8
25.10.3
22.622.9
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End2.9
red by 2.8
22.31.1
19.720.8
Auto4.0
Teleop13.5
End4.7
Second
166
#15
16.20.2
16.716.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End2.9
red by 0.2
1277
#20
15.91.1
14.215.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End3.8
Third
7126
#29
7.70.3
7.27.5
Auto1.9
Teleop2.4
End3.5
blue by 3.1
3623
#36
10.81.4
7.99.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed