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Red37
67629.7
23426.5
492517.7
Blue39
633713.7
693313.2
105817.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3545102030405060703739

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.1
16.616.7
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End3.2
red by 0.2
17.50.3
17.317.1
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End6.4
Second
6762
#22
9.70.1
9.910.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End3.1
blue by 4.0
6337
#16
13.70.3
12.312.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End2.6
Third
2342
#37
6.50.1
6.56.6
Auto3.2
Teleop1.7
End1.7
blue by 6.7
6933
#30
13.20.3
12.712.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
11%HAB Docking oddsMissed51%HAB Docking oddsMissed