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Red47
669010.2
31923.6
76749.9
Blue15
23426.5
73146.7
127715.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342701020405060704715

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#4
23.60.9
17.918.9
Auto3.2
Teleop15.6
End4.7
red by 7.6
1277
#20
15.90.7
13.612.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.9
End3.8
Second
6690
#10
10.20.9
4.95.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.0
End2.5
red by 3.5
7314
#24
6.71.2
3.62.4
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End1.9
Third
7674
#33
9.91.6
9.911.5
Auto3.1
Teleop4.1
End2.8
red by 3.4
2342
#37
6.51.2
8.77.5
Auto3.2
Teleop1.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed