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Red46
52720.4
108916.3
314212.7
Blue64
74720.7
259022.9
39511.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595850556065704664

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#15
20.40.8
18.617.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End5.2
blue by 2.4
22.90.6
24.725.3
Auto4.8
Teleop14.2
End3.9
Second
1089
#32
16.30.8
21.620.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End3.4
blue by 4.4
747
#3
20.70.6
20.721.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.5
End7.8
Third
3142
#28
12.70.8
15.514.6
Auto5.5
Teleop4.6
End2.6
red by 1.4
395
#25
11.30.6
9.910.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed10%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsMissed81%HAB Docking oddsEarned