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Red44
589521.1
74720.7
640113.6
Blue59
259022.9
5627.8
125721.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6579020401001201404459

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5895
#29
21.11.1
24.523.4
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End2.0
blue by 6.7
56
#4
27.81.0
28.927.9
Auto4.0
Teleop15.7
End8.2
Second
747
#3
20.71.1
21.220.1
Auto5.3
Teleop7.5
End7.8
blue by 2.2
2590
#1Sur
22.91.0
25.324.3
Auto4.8
Teleop14.2
End3.9
Third
6401
#21Sur
13.61.1
15.514.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End5.4
blue by 7.6
1257
#14
21.21.0
20.319.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsEarned91%HAB Docking oddsMissed