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Red58
33322.1
181117.2
Blue63
27117.3
351511.1
52720.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474640455055605863

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#22
22.10.9
20.221.2
Auto3.5
Teleop15.5
End3.1
red by 1.7
527
#15
20.41.3
17.719.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End5.2
Second
1811
#27
17.20.9
17.718.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.0
End4.0
blue by 0.1
271
#35
17.31.3
16.217.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End5.5
Third
6.51.5
6.27.8
Auto1.9
Teleop2.8
End1.8
blue by 4.6
11.11.3
10.011.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed