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Red30
632712.2
68979.1
249512.7
Blue42
255417.8
24589.1
334013.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404102060803042

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.71.1
13.112.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.5
End1.7
blue by 5.0
2554
#10
17.80.4
17.617.2
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End4.7
Second
6327
#34
12.21.1
12.611.5
Auto4.9
Teleop5.2
End2.1
blue by 0.8
13.00.4
12.111.7
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End4.9
Third
6897
#38
9.11.1
11.910.8
Auto2.4
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Level
2458
#33
9.10.4
8.88.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed