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Red56
33322.1
334013.0
640113.6
Blue33
127914.9
108916.3
7517.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505602040801001205633

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#22
22.10.6
22.222.8
Auto3.5
Teleop15.5
End3.1
red by 4.6
75
#37
17.51.3
18.917.5
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End4.6
Second
6401
#21
13.60.6
13.413.9
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End5.4
blue by 2.7
1089
#32
16.31.3
18.116.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End3.4
Third
13.00.6
11.812.3
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End4.9
blue by 1.9
1279
#24
14.91.3
16.114.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned45%HAB Docking oddsMissed