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Red54
39511.3
640113.6
22418.6
Blue65
691112.0
259022.9
69429.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47700204060801001205465

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
224
#6
18.60.4
19.118.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End5.5
blue by 10.4
694
#11
29.10.1
29.829.7
Auto4.5
Teleop18.7
End5.8
Second
6401
#21
13.60.4
13.913.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End5.4
blue by 9.3
22.90.1
24.124.1
Auto4.8
Teleop14.2
End3.9
Third
395
#25
11.30.4
11.711.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.7
End2.9
blue by 0.7
6911
#18
12.00.1
12.212.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed12%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed71%HAB Docking oddsMissed