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Red71
57329.7
167631.4
334012.8
Blue66
140320.7
5622.7
428515.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576240507080907166

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.2
31.331.5
Auto5.6
Teleop20.1
End5.8
red by 8.8
56
#2
22.70.1
22.722.8
Auto3.6
Teleop9.7
End9.4
Second
3340
#32
12.80.2
12.712.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.0
End3.6
blue by 8.0
20.70.1
20.820.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End4.7
Third
5732
#24
9.70.2
9.69.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End3.2
blue by 5.6
4285
#22
15.30.1
15.315.4
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End4.1