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Red47
140320.7
181118.4
758712.1
Blue30
334012.8
428111.2
30322.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385202060804730

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.7
15.015.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End4.7
blue by 2.1
303
#5
22.91.3
24.623.3
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End5.0
Second
1811
#18
18.40.7
13.514.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End3.8
red by 5.7
3340
#32
12.82.2
12.110.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.0
End3.6
Third
7587
#12
12.11.2
7.78.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End3.6
red by 1.0
4281
#31
11.22.2
12.910.8
Auto2.9
Teleop6.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed