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Red43
46529.5
10219.6
57329.7
Blue34
78539.7
363718.7
465318.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33421020305060704334

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
#9
19.60.2
13.413.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End3.8
red by 0.9
3637
#15
18.70.6
15.414.7
Auto3.7
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Second
5732
#24
9.70.1
9.29.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End3.2
blue by 8.6
4653
#16
18.30.4
16.516.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.8
End2.3
Third
4652
#27
9.50.1
8.68.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.4
End1.8
blue by 0.2
7853
#33
9.70.4
7.77.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed