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Red61
5622.7
403513.8
543813.6
Blue18
68979.5
22413.8
758712.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393610203050606118

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#2
22.72.6
19.121.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.7
End9.4
red by 8.9
224
#25
13.81.8
13.211.4
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End3.9
Second
4035
#30
13.81.6
8.29.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End2.5
red by 1.6
7587
#12
12.11.8
10.48.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End3.6
Third
5438
#20
13.61.6
10.011.6
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End3.1
red by 4.1
6897
#28
9.51.8
10.68.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned19%HAB Docking oddsMissed