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Red49
255413.1
181118.4
543813.6
Blue53
1122.3
10219.6
428111.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4050102030607080904953

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1811
#18
18.40.8
15.616.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End3.8
blue by 3.8
11
#6
22.30.4
20.020.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End2.7
Second
5438
#20
13.60.8
11.612.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End3.1
blue by 6.0
102
#9
19.60.6
15.616.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End3.8
Third
2554
#23
13.11.3
10.411.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End2.9
red by 1.9
4281
#31
11.20.6
11.912.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.6
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed