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Red60
543813.6
30322.9
457319.1
Blue41
249511.9
562413.0
403513.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5537102030506070806041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#5
22.90.5
22.623.2
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End5.0
red by 9.1
4035
#30
13.80.4
9.910.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.1
End2.5
Second
19.10.8
17.218.1
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End4.4
red by 6.2
5624
#29
13.00.7
13.113.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Third
5438
#20
13.60.5
12.513.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End3.1
red by 1.6
2495
#26
11.90.7
11.912.6
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsEarned9%HAB Docking oddsMissed