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Red50
363718.7
331419.7
68979.5
Blue52
334012.8
13611.0
1122.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494942444648505254565052

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#14
19.70.2
19.519.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End6.4
blue by 2.6
11
#6
22.30.4
22.823.2
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End2.7
Second
3637
#15
18.70.3
17.017.2
Auto3.7
Teleop13.0
End2.0
red by 5.9
3340
#32
12.80.5
13.513.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.0
End3.6
Third
6897
#28
9.50.3
10.010.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.4
End2.7
blue by 1.5
136
#21
11.00.5
10.010.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
58%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed