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Red43
22413.8
35159.1
162616.1
Blue30
46529.5
428111.2
68979.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393510203050604330

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#10
16.10.4
15.115.5
Auto5.0
Teleop8.0
End3.1
red by 4.9
4281
#31
11.20.9
12.111.2
Auto2.9
Teleop6.6
End1.6
Second
224
#25
13.80.4
13.313.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End3.9
red by 4.2
4652
#27
9.50.9
10.49.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.4
End1.8
Third
3515
#34
9.10.4
8.79.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.7
blue by 0.3
6897
#28
9.50.9
10.39.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed5%HAB Docking oddsMissed