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Red43
465318.3
57329.7
428515.3
Blue64
1122.3
314216.4
255413.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424225303540455055604364

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4653
#16
18.30.2
16.216.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.8
End2.3
blue by 4.0
11
#6
22.31.4
17.518.9
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End2.7
Second
4285
#22
15.30.2
14.514.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End4.1
blue by 1.1
3142
#19
16.41.6
12.213.8
Auto6.2
Teleop6.5
End3.7
Third
5732
#24
9.70.2
9.09.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.7
End3.2
blue by 3.4
2554
#23
13.12.3
10.312.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed