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Red54
253930.6
450513.1
711017.7
Blue60
81613.1
272926.8
48420.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65645560705460

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2539
Unranked
30.60.0
30.630.6
Auto4.0
Teleop19.3
End7.3
red by 3.7
2729
Unranked
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto5.3
Teleop14.2
End7.4
Second
7110
Unranked
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End4.3
blue by 2.9
484
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End6.1
Third
4505
Unranked
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End2.8
Level
816
Unranked
13.10.0
13.113.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.7
End3.7