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Red61
32125.3
162623.4
692113.7
Blue63
540129.1
48420.5
20319.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66730501001506163

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
321
Unranked
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto4.6
Teleop14.4
End6.2
blue by 3.8
5401
Unranked
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto5.2
Teleop20.0
End3.9
Second
1626
Unranked
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.5
End7.5
red by 2.8
484
Unranked
20.50.0
20.520.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End6.1
Third
6921
Unranked
13.70.0
13.713.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.2
End3.2
blue by 5.9
203
Unranked
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket odds9%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking odds32%HAB Docking odds