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Red41
260012.4
108916.8
694313.3
Blue43
125719.6
21916.4
543811.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354420304050604143

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#25
16.80.2
13.213.3
Auto3.3
Teleop9.8
End3.7
blue by 2.9
1257
#11
19.60.2
14.514.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End6.3
Second
6943
#23
13.30.1
6.76.8
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End2.9
blue by 3.1
219
#7
16.40.2
14.815.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End6.4
Third
2600
#13
12.40.2
13.613.7
Auto3.2
Teleop7.2
End2.0
red by 1.2
5438
#27
11.20.2
12.212.4
Auto2.3
Teleop6.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed