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Red49
19311.6
22225.9
4115.4
Blue38
601611.2
257722.9
167216.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47391020305060704938

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#10
25.90.5
17.518.1
Auto5.9
Teleop16.4
End3.7
red by 3.1
22.90.1
14.414.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End9.2
Second
41
#9
15.40.5
15.215.7
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End5.3
blue by 0.8
1672
#12
16.20.1
12.913.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.7
End2.4
Third
193
#29
11.60.5
11.512.1
Auto2.5
Teleop7.0
End2.1
red by 0.4
6016
#30
11.20.1
9.59.7
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed