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Red48
114318.2
257722.9
599219.9
Blue21
127917.7
198913.9
12288.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414520305060704821

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.91.0
12.513.5
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End9.2
red by 5.2
1279
#16
17.72.4
14.612.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End3.4
Second
19.91.0
12.213.2
Auto3.7
Teleop14.1
End2.1
red by 6.0
1989
#26
13.92.4
14.812.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End2.8
Third
1143
#14
18.20.6
14.014.6
Auto2.9
Teleop11.3
End4.0
red by 10.2
1228
#32
8.02.4
12.910.5
Auto5.2
Teleop2.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed