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Red33
55512.1
140314.2
599219.9
Blue30
314211.4
30324.7
543811.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4046203050603330

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.91.2
15.914.7
Auto3.7
Teleop14.1
End2.1
blue by 4.8
303
#6
24.71.5
18.717.2
Auto5.5
Teleop14.4
End4.8
Second
1403
#15
14.21.2
11.19.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End3.2
red by 2.7
3142
#22
11.41.5
14.613.2
Auto5.4
Teleop2.2
End3.9
Third
555
#21
12.11.2
10.89.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.0
End3.4
red by 0.9
5438
#27
11.21.5
9.88.3
Auto2.3
Teleop6.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed