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Red9
57328.1
314211.4
68609.6
Blue17
53101.3
543811.2
55512.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3128020406080100120917

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3142
#22
11.42.2
13.211.0
Auto5.4
Teleop2.2
End3.9
blue by 0.7
555
#21
12.11.4
10.39.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.0
End3.4
Second
6860
#31
9.62.2
9.57.3
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End2.6
blue by 1.6
5438
#27
11.21.4
9.07.6
Auto2.3
Teleop6.1
End2.8
Third
5732
#33
8.12.2
6.44.2
Auto1.7
Teleop4.1
End2.3
red by 6.8
5310
#28
1.31.4
7.05.6
Auto0.4
Teleop0.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed