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Red40
108916.8
436115.8
70459.6
Blue41
192319.8
78537.3
259016.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364720304060704041

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#25
16.80.6
13.213.9
Auto3.3
Teleop9.8
End3.7
blue by 3.0
19.80.4
18.217.8
Auto3.7
Teleop13.3
End2.8
Second
4361
#19
15.80.6
12.713.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.0
End5.9
blue by 0.7
16.50.4
18.017.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.8
End3.9
Third
7045
#35
9.60.6
8.38.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End2.7
red by 2.3
7853
#36
7.30.4
8.68.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed