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Red49
694313.3
70459.6
30324.7
Blue62
2523.9
192319.8
20705.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444820304060704962

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#6
24.70.6
22.923.5
Auto5.5
Teleop14.4
End4.8
red by 0.8
25
#4
23.91.5
21.122.6
Auto4.0
Teleop16.6
End3.3
Second
6943
#23
13.30.5
10.811.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End2.9
blue by 6.4
19.81.5
17.819.3
Auto3.7
Teleop13.3
End2.8
Third
7045
#35
9.60.7
8.28.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End2.7
red by 4.4
2070
#24
5.21.5
6.37.8
Auto0.7
Teleop2.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsMissed