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Red38
80611.3
201625.2
21920.7
Blue61
121829.8
74720.3
31622.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607620401003861

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#19
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End6.3
blue by 4.7
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End7.7
Second
219
#27
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End5.4
blue by 1.5
316
#18
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto5.7
Teleop13.6
End2.9
Third
806
#29
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto1.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 9.0
747
#11
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.7
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket odds14%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking odds96%HAB Docking odds