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Red36
125721.7
689713.3
201625.2
Blue41
21920.7
259025.5
22417.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646802040801001203641

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#19
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End6.3
blue by 0.3
2590
#16
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto4.9
Teleop16.3
End4.4
Second
1257
#25
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End5.9
red by 1.0
219
#27
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End5.4
Third
6897
#32
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End2.6
blue by 4.5
224
#26
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket odds6%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
67%HAB Docking odds77%HAB Docking odds