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Red81
465320.0
167629.0
80611.3
Blue41
689713.3
334016.4
22417.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64502040801008141

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto5.1
Teleop17.8
End6.0
red by 11.2
224
#26
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End5.6
Second
4653
#15
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End3.6
red by 3.6
3340
#33
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto5.1
Teleop5.3
End6.0
Third
806
#29
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto1.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 2.0
6897
#32
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
15%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking odds48%HAB Docking odds