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Red50
80611.3
125721.7
542017.8
Blue65
465320.0
19316.9
599221.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54612040801005065

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1257
#25
21.70.0
21.721.7
Auto4.6
Teleop11.2
End5.9
red by 0.4
5992
#28
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto3.8
Teleop13.6
End4.0
Second
5420
#31
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End4.2
blue by 2.2
4653
#15
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto4.2
Teleop12.2
End3.6
Third
806
#29
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto1.8
Teleop7.5
End2.0
blue by 5.6
193
#10
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket odds6%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking odds58%HAB Docking odds