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Red94
22325.5
22228.6
29315.8
Blue74
363722.0
140324.1
257719.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions736940506080901009474

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#4
28.60.3
28.328.6
Auto5.2
Teleop18.8
End4.5
red by 4.4
24.10.0
24.424.4
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End6.0
Second
223
#15
25.50.3
25.325.5
Auto5.8
Teleop16.3
End3.4
red by 3.5
3637
#28
22.00.0
22.222.3
Auto4.4
Teleop14.5
End3.1
Third
293
#19
15.80.3
15.615.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End4.3
blue by 3.2
2577
#22
19.00.0
19.219.3
Auto5.2
Teleop6.3
End7.5