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Red48
167215.0
22526.4
127919.3
Blue59
363722.0
334017.6
192323.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6056405070804859

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#2
26.40.6
21.120.5
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End6.1
red by 3.3
1923
#10
23.00.0
21.721.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.4
End5.2
Second
1279
#27
19.30.6
20.219.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End2.7
blue by 2.7
3637
#28
22.00.0
18.718.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.5
End3.1
Third
1672
#25
15.00.6
15.815.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.5
End3.1
blue by 2.5
3340
#20
17.60.0
12.712.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsEarned