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Red59
599220.8
75213.8
192323.0
Blue37
162621.5
334017.6
70458.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5649203040607080905937

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#10
23.00.4
21.722.1
Auto3.5
Teleop14.4
End5.2
red by 1.5
1626
#11
21.50.8
20.119.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.2
End6.2
Second
5992
#13
20.80.4
20.721.1
Auto3.8
Teleop14.6
End2.4
red by 3.2
3340
#20
17.60.8
13.813.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.4
End5.7
Third
752
#21
13.80.4
10.510.9
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End4.9
red by 5.3
7045
#33
8.50.8
12.211.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed48%HAB Docking oddsEarned