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Red66
475011.5
331425.8
167629.2
Blue71
22526.4
192323.0
601616.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726840506080906671

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.1
30.029.9
Auto5.7
Teleop17.3
End6.1
red by 2.8
225
#2
26.40.5
24.424.9
Auto4.9
Teleop15.4
End6.1
Second
25.80.1
26.926.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.1
End7.8
red by 2.8
1923
#10
23.00.5
22.623.0
Auto3.5
Teleop14.4
End5.2
Third
4750
#26
11.50.1
10.910.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End2.4
blue by 4.9
6016
#12
16.40.5
17.117.6
Auto2.7
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsEarned50%HAB Docking oddsMissed