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Red40
70458.5
363722.0
71414.8
Blue59
457512.3
75213.8
22228.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4953204060804059

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#28
22.00.6
21.020.4
Auto4.4
Teleop14.5
End3.1
blue by 6.6
222
#4
28.60.6
27.428.0
Auto5.2
Teleop18.8
End4.5
Second
714
#30
14.80.6
14.113.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.3
End2.7
red by 1.0
752
#21
13.80.6
12.012.6
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End4.9
Third
7045
#33
8.50.6
11.310.6
Auto2.9
Teleop2.5
End3.0
blue by 3.8
4575
#32
12.30.6
11.111.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsEarned