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Red69
10221.3
127919.3
140324.1
Blue65
2526.7
75213.8
601616.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64583040507080906965

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.10.5
22.322.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.3
End6.0
blue by 2.5
25
#14
26.70.7
26.427.1
Auto4.7
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Second
102
#16
21.30.5
19.019.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.9
End4.8
red by 4.9
6016
#12
16.40.7
16.216.9
Auto2.7
Teleop11.7
End2.0
Third
1279
#27
19.30.5
19.420.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End2.7
red by 5.5
752
#21
13.80.7
12.613.2
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsEarned42%HAB Docking oddsEarned