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Red50
192323.0
457512.3
758710.8
Blue55
566613.2
5625.4
29315.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4854102030406070805055

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1923
#10
23.00.3
23.623.9
Auto3.5
Teleop14.4
End5.2
blue by 2.4
56
#3
25.40.1
24.524.6
Auto3.7
Teleop13.2
End8.6
Second
4575
#32
12.30.3
11.712.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End3.0
blue by 3.5
293
#19
15.80.1
14.514.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End4.3
Third
7587
#23
10.80.3
10.110.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.8
End2.2
blue by 2.3
5666
#35
13.20.1
11.811.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned73%HAB Docking oddsEarned