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Red38
465319.3
758710.8
475011.5
Blue26
245812.0
632715.1
70458.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4441203050603826

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4653
#17
19.30.2
19.819.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.5
End3.4
red by 4.3
6327
#34
15.11.3
16.315.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End3.0
Second
4750
#26
11.50.2
11.511.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End2.4
blue by 0.5
2458
#31
12.01.3
13.111.8
Auto3.3
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Third
7587
#23
10.80.2
10.410.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.8
End2.2
red by 2.4
7045
#33
8.51.3
9.78.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed35%HAB Docking oddsMissed