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Red50
363722.0
632715.1
457512.3
Blue64
19319.1
29315.8
599220.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52562040801005064

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3637
#28
22.00.1
21.921.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.5
End3.1
red by 1.2
5992
#13
20.80.7
20.321.0
Auto3.8
Teleop14.6
End2.4
Second
6327
#34
15.10.1
15.015.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End3.0
blue by 4.1
193
#9
19.10.7
17.718.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.0
End6.6
Third
4575
#32
12.30.1
12.212.3
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End3.0
blue by 3.5
293
#19
15.80.7
15.215.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsEarned