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Red48
20315.2
20415.4
622621.2
Blue82
568425.1
83429.9
36526.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576830405080901004882

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6226
#12
21.20.4
22.321.9
Auto2.7
Teleop10.0
End8.5
blue by 8.7
834
#2
29.91.0
23.024.0
Auto5.4
Teleop17.5
End6.9
Second
204
#8
15.40.4
12.211.8
Auto3.4
Teleop7.9
End4.1
blue by 10.7
365
#1
26.21.0
20.621.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.8
End7.0
Third
203
#35
15.20.4
19.719.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.0
End2.7
blue by 9.9
5684
#10
25.11.0
21.022.0
Auto3.7
Teleop16.8
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned43%HAB Docking oddsMissed