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Red45
81613.1
34116.4
7519.5
Blue70
137019.9
164710.9
589528.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445910203040507080904570

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75
#5
19.50.2
14.414.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End6.6
blue by 9.3
28.80.8
24.925.6
Auto4.9
Teleop18.8
End5.0
Second
341
#25
16.40.2
13.914.2
Auto4.3
Teleop8.9
End3.2
blue by 3.5
1370
#23
19.90.8
17.818.5
Auto3.7
Teleop13.4
End2.9
Third
816
#29
13.10.2
13.113.4
Auto4.7
Teleop4.7
End3.7
red by 2.2
1647
#30
10.90.8
13.013.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed