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Red35
164710.9
180727.1
568425.1
Blue54
17919.4
7519.5
164024.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634602040801003554

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.11.7
25.323.6
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End7.1
red by 2.5
24.60.7
20.721.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.7
End5.1
Second
5684
#10
25.11.7
21.119.4
Auto3.7
Teleop16.8
End4.6
red by 5.6
75
#5
19.50.7
14.615.3
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End6.6
Third
1647
#30
10.91.7
13.712.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.1
End3.1
red by 1.4
1791
#26
9.40.7
7.98.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
39%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsEarned